By Vesna Danilovic
While the Stakes Are excessive relies at the premise that powers have constantly performed a decisive function in foreign conflicts. accordingly, one of many key questions issues the stipulations which are more likely to set off or impede dispute escalation into significant strength conflicts. during this booklet, Vesna Danilovic presents a rigorous theoretical and empirical research of those stipulations. because the so much precarious and customary type of dispute among significant powers arises over 3rd international locations, the author's basic concentration is on so-called prolonged deterrence. during this kind of deterrence, one facet makes an attempt to avoid one other facet from starting up or escalating clash with a 3rd state. while the Stakes Are excessive addresses such questions as: whilst is prolonged deterrence prone to be potent? What occurs if deterrence fails? In what conditions is battle more likely to consequence from a deterrence failure? The author's major argument is significant power's nationwide pursuits, which form the inherent credibility of threats and that are formed by means of a variety of nearby stakes, set the bounds to the relevance of different components, that have acquired larger scholarly realization long ago. Strongly supported via the empirical findings, the arguments during this paintings draw vital implications for clash conception and deterrence coverage within the post-Cold warfare period. This ebook will entice the reader drawn to diplomacy, often, and in theories of foreign clash, deterrence, factors of wars, nice energy habit, and geopolitics, specifically. Vesna Danilovic is Assistant Professor of Political technological know-how, Texas A&M collage.
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Additional info for When the Stakes Are High: Deterrence and Conflict among Major Powers
0 Source: Bairoch 1982, 298, 304 (tables 10 and 13). 2. 6 — Source: Maddison 1995, 148–60 (table B-10). aAustria only. b1951 year. 7 Consequently, their international policy was primarily directed against the rising pan-Slavist and Russian in›uence in the region (Albertini 1952; Taylor 1954), which, in turn, back‹red domestically among the disenfranchised Slavic population. Against this background, the Hapsburg monarchy entered World War I and the last phase of its history as one of the oldest European great powers.
Note that here the term commitment does not refer strictly to formal alliances, but it rather encompasses an entire range of techniques for signaling strong resolve regardless of the involved inherent stakes. Commitment Theory In their seminal studies The Strategy of Con›ict (1960) and On Escalation (1965), Schelling and Kahn, respectively, paved the way for the modern strategic studies that have contoured much of our thinking about deterrence and con›ict in the nuclear age. Kahn thought that the development of tactical nuclear weapons, for possible limited use, was one way to solve the nuclear deterrence problem.
A “sink-cost” strategy). Second, I examine the impact of a deterrer’s past behavior on the rate of its success or failure in subsequent deterrence crises. As the ‹ndings will show, inherent credibility, interpreted to re›ect vital interests in the region of dispute, provides better explanatory power than either of these two key elements of commitment theory. In summary, this book examines the dynamics of deterrence between major powers, especially their behavior in military con›icts in which Introduction 25 two or more major powers are disputing over a third nation.
When the Stakes Are High: Deterrence and Conflict among Major Powers by Vesna Danilovic